甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数联合C反应蛋白对缺血性脑卒中患者预后的预测价值
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河北省医学科学研究课题计划(20211631)


The predictive value of triglyceride-glucose index combined with C-reactive protein on the prognosisof patients with ischemic stroke
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    摘要:

    目的 评估甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数(TyG)联合C 反应蛋白(CRP)对缺血性脑卒中患者预后 的预测价值。方法 本研究为回顾性队列研究。纳入2018—2021 年在沧州市人民医院确诊为缺血性 脑卒中的1 125 例患者为研究对象。收集患者的临床资料和随访数据,测定并计算TyG 和CRP 水平。根 据随访结局是否再发缺血性脑卒中分为再发组(79 例)和未再发组(1 046 例),比较两组临床资料。利用 Cox 比例风险回归模型分析探讨TyG 和CRP与缺血性脑卒中再发之间的关系,并利用受试者工作特征 (ROC)曲线分析评估这两项指标单独及联合预测卒中再发的效能,利用方差膨胀因子(VIF)分析各自变 量之间的共线性关系。结果 与未再发组比较,再发组糖尿病比例、高血压比例、心房颤动比例、心力 衰竭比例、血尿酸(SUA)、血肌酐(SCr)、血同型半胱氨酸(HCY)、空腹血糖(FBG)、糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)、 总胆固醇(TC)、甘油三酯(TG)、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL-C)、CRP、TyG 升高,差异均有统计学意义(均 P< 0.05)。调整所有混杂因素后,多因素Cox 比例风险回归模型分析显示,升高的CRP(HR=1.028, 95%CI:1.017~1.039,P< 0.001)和TyG(HR=2.450,95%CI:1.487~4.039,P< 0.001)可作为缺血性脑卒 中再发的独立危险因素。ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为:CRP为0.689(95%CI:0.662~0.716)、TyG为0.756 (95%CI:0.730~0.781)、CRP 联合TyG 为0.838(95%CI:0.815~0.859),其中两者联合的预测价值高于单 独指标CRP和TyG 的预测价值(均P< 0.05),将单因素分析中CRP与TyG 进行共线性分析,结果显示, 两者之间不存在共线性(VIF值为1.133)。结论 TyG 与CRP对缺血性脑卒中患者预后有一定的独立预 测价值,两者联合评估能够进一步提升预测的准确性。

    Abstract:

    Objective To assess the predictive value of triglyceride-glucose index( TyG) combined with C-reactive protein( CRP) in the prognosis of patients with ischemic stroke. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study that included 1 125 patients with ischemic stroke in Cangzhou People's Hospital from 2018 to 2021. Clinical and follow-up data were collected from patients, and TyG and CRP were determined and calculated. Patients were divided into recurrent group( 79 cases) and non-recurrent group( 1 046 cases) according to whether the follow-up outcome was recurrent ischemic stroke or not, and the clinical data of the two groups were compared. The relationship between TyG and CRP and ischemic stroke recurrence was explored using Cox proportional risk regression, and the value of these two markers individually and in combination in predicting stroke recurrence was assessed using receiver operating characteristic( ROC) curve, and the covariance between the markers was analyzed using variance inflation factor( VIF). Results The proportion of diabetes, proportion of hypertension, proportion of atrial fibrillation, proportion of heart failure, serum uric acid(SUA),serum creatinine(SCr),homocgsteme(HCY),fasting blood glucose( FBG),hemoglobinalc(HbA1c),total cholesterol (TC),triglyceride(TG),low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C), CRP, and TyG were higher in recurrent group compared with non-recurrent group, and the differences were statistically significant( all P<0.05). After adjusting for all confounding factors, multifactorial Cox proportional risk regression model analysis showed that elevated CRP[ HR=1.028, 95%CI( 1.017,1.039), P<0.001] and TyG[ HR=2.450, 95%CI( 1.487,4.039), P < 0.001] were independent risk factors for recurrent ischemic stroke, and the difference was statistically significant. The area under the ROC curve( AUC) was 0.689[ 95%CI( 0.662,0.716)] for CRP, 0.756[ 95%CI (0.730,0.781)] for TyG, and 0.838[ 95%CI( 0.815,0.859)] for CRP combined with TyG. The combined predictive value of the two was statistically higher than the predictive value of CRP and TyG alone( all P<0.05). CRP and TyG were analyzed for covariance in the univariate analysis, and the results showed that there was no covariance between them( VIF=1.133). Conclusions TyG and CRP have a certain independent predictive value for the prognosis of ischemic stroke patients, and the combined assessment of the two can further improve the accuracy of prediction.

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于骁,孙亚召,黄捷,陶瑞明,董晓磊,沈嘉明,王梦梦,卢玉乾.甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数联合C反应蛋白对缺血性脑卒中患者预后的预测价值[J].神经疾病与精神卫生,2025,25(6):409-415
DOI :10.3969/j. issn.1009-6574.2025.06.005.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-24